Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 17?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Hong Kong will not reach 22°C on March 17.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature will not reach 22°C on March 17. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, suggesting minimal likelihood for a temperature of 22°C. This consensus indicates a strong belief in cooler weather conditions for that date.

• 1 Market probability shows a complete rejection of 22°C being the highest temperature.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating strong consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests a reliable prediction environment.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant discrepancies.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect the urgency of market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.