Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 23°C in Hong Kong on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 23°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a probability of 99% for NO, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming sentiment against reaching 23°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market consensus.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 No time to expiry information may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.