Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 26°C in Hong Kong on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will be below 26°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting minimal disagreement among participants. The confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 26°C.
• 2 High market probability suggests strong confidence in the prediction.
• 3 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.