Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 24?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 27°C in Hong Kong on March 24.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature will not reach 27°C, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 27°C.
• 2 The probability of reaching 27°C is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction shows a slight divergence but still favors NO.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 No clear time pressure is indicated, as expiry time is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.