Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 28?

High probability for Hong Kong's temperature to reach 27°C on March 28.

The market indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in Hong Kong will be 27°C on March 28, with a probability of 99.65%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, suggesting consensus among participants. The edge of -0.65 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 High confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty.
• 3 Market probability closely aligns with AI predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for decision-making.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.