Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 18?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 28°C in Hong Kong on March 18.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of temperatures remaining below 28°C, with a 99.45% chance for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a consensus on cooler conditions expected for the date in question.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 28°C.
• 2 The market probability shows a significant skew towards 'NO'.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.