Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 23?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 28°C in Hong Kong on March 23.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.45%) that the highest temperature in Hong Kong will be below 28°C on March 23. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a lower probability of 2.05% for temperatures reaching or exceeding 28°C. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 28°C.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a low chance of reaching 28°C.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 2 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.