Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 90-91°F in Houston on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 90-91°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a low likelihood of the event occurring. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 90°F.
• 2 Historical data suggests low occurrences of such temperatures in late March.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 4 The high confidence level indicates strong belief in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.