Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on March 31?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Istanbul will not reach 9°C on March 31.

The current market probability indicates a firm belief that the highest temperature in Istanbul will not be 9°C on March 31, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature rise to that level within the next five hours.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 9°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 80/100 suggests reliability in predictions.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 4 Low liquidity may impact potential shifts in market sentiment.
• 5 Historical weather data supports current temperature expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.