Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 11?

The market predicts the highest temperature in London will not reach 10°C on March 11.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned to temperatures not reaching 10°C. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, indicating a very low chance of a YES outcome at 1%. Given the confidence level of 80/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures reaching 10°C.
• 2 The probability of a YES outcome is extremely low at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level suggests strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.