Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 10°C in London on March 16.

With a market probability of 98.7% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 10°C. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate reliability in these predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 10°C.
• 2 The high NO probability indicates strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Weather patterns and forecasts are critical to market movements.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 5 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.