Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 17?

The market predicts the highest temperature in London will not reach 10°C on March 17.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned to temperatures not reaching 10°C. The Pulse AI also aligns with this assessment, indicating a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. Given the time to expiry is immediate, the market appears to be fairly priced with an 80% confidence level.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against reaching 10°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment, reinforcing the NO outcome.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Immediate expiry time limits potential for significant market shifts.
• 5 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.