Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Market predicts a 71.5% chance London will reach 10°C on March 26.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards a YES outcome for the highest temperature in London reaching 10°C on March 26, with a probability of 71.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this sentiment, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 68.5%, indicating a consensus among participants that this temperature threshold is likely to be met.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a YES outcome significantly.
• 2 The market probability suggests a well-informed consensus among participants.
• 3 The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.