Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?

The market shows a close split on whether London's temperature will reach 10°C on March 28.

With a market probability of 51.50% for YES and 48.5% for NO, the predictions are nearly evenly matched. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors NO at 51.5%, indicating a balanced outlook on the temperature forecast.

• 1 Market sentiment is evenly split, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a near 50/50 outcome.
• 3 The confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, which may heighten volatility.
• 5 The edge of -3 implies the market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.