Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?

The market is evenly split on whether London's temperature will reach 11°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 52.5% for YES and 47.5% for NO, the predictions indicate a close contest regarding the temperature forecast. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight lean towards NO, highlighting uncertainty in the prediction. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting the volatility of weather predictions.

• 1 Market is closely divided, indicating high uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight preference for NO at 50.5%.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate reliability.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.