Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?

High probability for London temperatures to be 11°C or below on March 8.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for temperatures in London to be 11°C or below on March 8. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, indicating a strong consensus among participants. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of temperatures being 11°C or below.
• 2 The high confidence score of 85/100 indicates strong belief in this prediction.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the likelihood of cooler temperatures in early March.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction timeline.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.