Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 16?

The market is evenly split on whether London's temperature will reach 12°C on March 16.

With a market probability of 49% for YES and 51% for NO, the prediction is very close to even. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight lean towards YES at 52%, indicating some uncertainty. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting the unpredictability of weather conditions.

• 1 Market is nearly evenly divided on the outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight preference for YES at 52%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 5 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.