Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 20?

Market indicates low likelihood of London reaching 12°C on March 20.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature in London reaching 12°C on March 20, with a NO probability of 98.35%. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, albeit slightly higher at 3.15% for YES. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market expectations.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March can inform predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity is stable, allowing for efficient price adjustments.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 3 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.