Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?

Market favors a NO outcome for London's temperature on March 21.

The prediction market indicates a 66% probability that the highest temperature in London will not reach 12°C on March 21. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a slightly higher probability of 63% for the NO outcome. With only 2 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts suggest temperatures below 12°C.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI predictions.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 2 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.