Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?

The market strongly favors that London's temperature won't reach 12°C on March 9.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in London will not be 12°C on March 9, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of 1% for a YES outcome. The confidence level of 80 out of 100 indicates a strong belief in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests reliability in current predictions.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.