Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in London on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a high confidence that temperatures will exceed 12°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus on warmer conditions. The edge of 0.95 implies that the market is fairly priced given the current data.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 12°C.
• 2 Current forecasts do not indicate significant cooling.
• 3 Historical data shows March temperatures typically exceed 12°C.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is high, reflecting strong participant confidence.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 11 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.