Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on March 13?

High probability for London's temperature to reach 12°C or higher on March 13.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 99.95% probability for the temperature in London to be 12°C or higher on March 13. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, indicating a well-aligned forecast. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts indicate stable conditions leading to higher temperatures.
• 3 Historical data shows March temperatures in London often exceed 12°C.
• 4 Market liquidity appears strong with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is low with only 11 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.