Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 15?

Market favors temperatures below 13°C in London on March 15.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards a NO outcome, suggesting that a temperature of 13°C is unlikely. The market probability stands at 76.1% for NO, while the AI probability is slightly higher at 73.1%, indicating a consensus on cooler expectations. With only one hour until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards cooler temperatures.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is relatively small.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with only one hour until the event.
• 5 Fair pricing indicates balanced information among participants.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.