Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 20?

Market favors temperatures below 13°C in London on March 20.

The prediction market shows a 73% probability for temperatures not reaching 13°C in London on March 20, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a slight increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 13°C but still favoring the NO outcome. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a moderate confidence level.

• 1 Current market probability favors NO at 73%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly increases YES probability to 30%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited at just 3 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.