Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?

The market is evenly split on whether London's temperature will reach 14°C on March 17.

With a market probability of 49.5% for YES and 50.5% for NO, the predictions indicate a nearly even split among participants. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors YES at 51%, suggesting a marginal lean towards higher temperatures. The confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate uncertainty as the expiry time approaches.

• 1 Market shows a balanced sentiment with minimal edge.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight lean towards YES at 51%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in decision-making.
• 5 Weather patterns in the lead-up could significantly impact outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.