Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for London's temperature on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 14°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this, showing only a 1.9% chance for YES, suggesting confidence in the NO outcome. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 High confidence in the NO prediction with a 99.6% probability.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood for YES.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.