Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?

The market indicates a low probability for London reaching 14°C on March 22.

With a market probability of 17.5% for temperatures reaching 14°C, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome at 82.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a slight increase in the likelihood of YES, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping expectations for temperature.
• 3 Historical data on March temperatures in London may influence predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting balanced betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 6 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.