Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for London reaching 14°C on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the likelihood of London hitting 14°C on March 8. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low probability for YES outcomes. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on the current data.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not support reaching 14°C.
• 3 The probability edge indicates fair market pricing.
• 4 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.