Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?

Market suggests a 64% chance of London reaching 15°C on March 23.

The prediction market indicates a 64% probability for the highest temperature in London to reach 15°C on March 23, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 61%. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3, suggesting balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a warmer day in London.
• 2 The probability reflects a consensus among traders.
• 3 Weather forecasts could significantly impact market odds.
• 4 Historical temperature data for March may influence expectations.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 3 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.