Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on March 11?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in London on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.8% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 15°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting limited expectations for warmer weather on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 Historical weather data may support the low temperature predictions.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a balanced view with minimal volatility.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.