Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on March 25?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in London on March 25.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in London will be below 15°C on March 25, with a corresponding low probability of 0.05% for temperatures reaching or exceeding that threshold. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this outlook, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors cooler temperatures.
• 2 Historical weather data for late March typically shows lower temperatures.
• 3 Market probability indicates a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trader interest.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.