Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 10?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 16°C in London on March 10.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not be 16°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Market confidence is relatively high at 80/100.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 No time to expiry information may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.