Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 16°C in London on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to be below 16°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low chance of reaching 16°C. The edge of 0.85 suggests the market is fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 65/100 indicates some uncertainty remains.
• 3 The time to expiry is only 1 hour, adding urgency to market movements.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.85.
• 5 Pulse AI aligns closely with market probabilities, reinforcing the consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.