Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors that London will not reach 17°C on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.9% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 17°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a low likelihood of the event occurring. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of reaching 17°C is considered very low.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting consistent participant confidence.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 1 hour until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.