Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 9?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 17°C in London on March 9.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in London will not reach 17°C on March 9, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for both outcomes. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 17°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in March typically show cooler temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 4 The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.