Market leans towards temperatures not reaching 18°C in London on March 18.
The market probability indicates a higher likelihood of temperatures not reaching 18°C, with a 58.5% NO probability compared to 41.5% YES. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, suggesting a consensus that temperatures will likely fall short of this threshold. With 12 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.