Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 18°C in London on March 19.

With a market probability of 90.65% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 18°C. The Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic for YES at 10.85%, but overall, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5 and moderate confidence.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 18°C.
• 2 Market probability indicates low confidence in reaching 18°C.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES than the market.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.