Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 9?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for London's temperature reaching 18°C on March 9.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 18°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal divergence in expectations. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is likely fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest little chance of reaching 18°C.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85, reflecting strong consensus.
• 5 No time to expiry information is available, which may affect volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.