Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 21?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for London's temperature on March 21.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in London will be below 18°C on March 21. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. With only one hour until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight divergence but still supports NO.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is very short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects a strong belief in lower temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.