Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 18?

The market indicates a low probability for London reaching 19°C on March 18.

With a market probability of 11% for a high of 19°C and a Pulse AI probability of 13%, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty, but the edge of 2 indicates that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market probability favors NO at 89%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 87% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 12 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.