Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on March 9?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for London's temperature on March 9.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in London will not reach 19°C on March 9. The Pulse AI probability slightly diverges, indicating a minimal chance for YES at 1%. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market views.
• 3 Historical temperature data supports the NO prediction.
• 4 Market liquidity is stable, indicating confidence in pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.