Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 18?

Low probability for London reaching 20°C on March 18, with market favoring cooler temperatures.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in London will not reach 20°C on March 18, with a 97.45% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, though slightly more optimistic about the possibility of reaching 20°C. Given the current confidence level of 60/100 and the time to expiry of 12 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 20°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for reaching 20°C than the market.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Only 12 hours remain until the market expires, adding time pressure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.