Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on March 18?

Low probability for 21°C in London on March 18, with a strong consensus against it.

The prediction market shows a significant majority (97.9%) expecting the highest temperature in London to be below 21°C on March 18. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of reaching that temperature. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting stability in expectations.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 97.9%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, showing 95.9% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 12 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.