Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 22°C in London on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 22°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 22°C.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of 0.95.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 1%.
• 5 Time to expiry for this market is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.