Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on March 26?

The market strongly predicts that London's temperature won't reach 4°C on March 26.

With a market probability of 0% for a high of 4°C, the consensus is that this temperature will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for the NO outcome, indicating strong confidence in the prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85 out of 100, suggesting strong agreement among participants.
• 4 The Pulse AI aligns closely with market predictions, reinforcing the NO stance.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect liquidity and market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.