Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in London on March 13.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 5°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal chance of a temperature drop to that level. Given the confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a low chance for YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level of 85 suggests strong market conviction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 9 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 implies fair pricing in the current market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.