Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in London on March 25.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in London will exceed 5°C on March 25. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 99% probability for the 'NO' outcome. This suggests a consensus that temperatures will be warmer than the threshold.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating confidence.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.