Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 6°C in London on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that temperatures will exceed 6°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal deviation from the market's stance. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures above 6°C.
• 2 Current forecasts do not suggest a cold snap for late March.
• 3 The market's edge indicates fair pricing with little room for mispricing.
• 4 Pulse AI's probability closely matches market expectations.
• 5 Confidence level of 80 suggests a strong belief in the current outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.