Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 6°C in London on March 15.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 6°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI probability further supports this outlook, indicating a high confidence in temperatures exceeding the threshold.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong belief in temperatures above 6°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a cold snap.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current temperature forecasts.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in predictions.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge, reflecting consensus among participants.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.