Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in London on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.8% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to exceed 7°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on this forecast. Given the confidence level of 65/100 and the edge of 0.8, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 7°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show higher temperatures.
• 3 Liquidity in the market indicates strong participant confidence.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 3 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge suggests the market is accurately reflecting the probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.